D3 — The Developer Deal Desk The Developer Deal Desk
Aerial of a wooded parcel and community road — raw land under review

Know the verdict before you commit capital.

Fixed-fee deal analysis for land, redevelopment, and value-add real estate. Send us the deal. In 72 hours you get one written decision.

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Verdict
Pursue
Verdict
Renegotiate
Verdict
Pause
Verdict
Kill
Independence

We do not buy what we review.

A broker's opinion of value is free because it comes with a listing. A lender's sizing is free because it comes with a loan. Ours comes with neither: any deal submitted to the Desk is off limits to the firm and its affiliates for 24 months — not pursued, not optioned, not referred on.

The full rule — Service Terms §6 →
The problem

Deals don't fail in construction. They fail at the purchase.

Wrong basis, optimistic density, a thin budget, an LOI that gave away the leverage. By the time it shows, the capital is committed.

Where the outcome is decided
Acquisition basisAt the LOI
Density assumptionAt the LOI
Budget riskPre-close
Construction executionPost-close

Illustrative — where the outcome is set, not a data series.

House under construction — foundation walls and stick framing
The front product

The 72-Hour Deal Verdict

$1,995flat · credits 100% toward any deeper engagement within 30 days

A 3–5 page decision memo: the verdict, the numbers behind it, and the one lever that fixes the deal if it is fixable. Delivered 72 hours from payment and complete file.

Decision memoVerdict, reasoning, and the fix
Numbers snapshotDensity, residual land value, yield, kill risks
Debrief callFifteen minutes on the verdict and next move
How it works
Aerial view of a completed community amenity area
Why we win

We publish.

We publish a full Deal Verdict in public — the memo included. A real listed deal, the same method, the same memo. Nobody else will show their work.

We are fast.

Seventy-two hours, guaranteed. If we miss it you choose the remedy: a full refund, or the deliverable at half price.

We are honest.

A kill is a win. A kill verdict saves the client fifty times the fee — and any deal you send us is off limits to the firm and its entities for 24 months.

We finish.

When the verdict is pursue, the same people can run the project — owner's representation or full development management, on a published fee basis.

We are builders.

The analysis comes from developers and construction executives who have carried projects from land contract to certificate of occupancy. Every verdict is written and signed by Andrew Wallace.

Published deal reviews
All reviews →
Aerial view of single-family homes under construction on adjacent lots
No. 001 · 5 August 2026 · Prince George's County, MD

23 Homes on 3.49 Acres — Does the Density Survive?

$995,000 for a site marketed at 23 lots. The question is whether 23 is a real number or a brochure number.

Verdict: Renegotiate
Multifamily building courtyard mid-construction
No. 002 · 12 August 2026 · Baltimore, MD

153,000 SF in the PSO District — Tailwind or Trap?

District tailwinds do not pay construction draws. Conventionally underwritten, the building is worth close to zero.

Verdict: Pause
Mid-rise multifamily building under construction
No. 003 · 8 September 2026 · Washington, DC

Twenty Units on 3,833 Square Feet — Does the Rent Roll Exist?

$1,500,000 for an entitled 20-unit site. The marketing says $1.2 million a year in rent. The submarket says about half of that.

Verdict: Renegotiate
Aerial view of new homes and graded lots
No. 004 · 8 September 2026 · DeKalb County, GA

Twenty Townhome Lots on 2.88 Acres — Entitled Until October 23

$560,000 for twenty entitled townhome lots at $28,000 each. The entitlement the price rests on expires 45 days after this review was written.

Verdict: Pause

Published deal reviews are independent opinions based on public listing information and stated assumptions, prepared for educational purposes — not appraisals, not investment advice, and not a criticism of any party. Full disclaimer.

Restaurant under construction — timber and stone facade going up
A kill is a win

The most expensive deal you will ever do is the one that should have died at the LOI.

If the memo kills the deal, it just saved you fifty times the fee.

Book a 15-minute call